N Korea nuclear test 'not imminent'

Written By Unknown on Senin, 08 April 2013 | 18.19

8 April 2013 Last updated at 06:19 ET

South Korean officials have said there are no indications that the North is about to carry out a nuclear test.

A defence ministry spokesman said while activity had been detected at the Punggye-ri underground test site, it appeared to be routine.

South Korean Unification Minister Ryoo Kihl-jae had earlier said there were indications a test was being prepared.

Meanwhile the North has said it is withdrawing all its workers from the shared Kaesong industrial complex.

UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said such a nuclear test would be a "provocative measure", and warned that North Korean cannot continue "confronting and challenging the authority of the Security Council and directly challenging the whole international community".

With tension rising on the Korean peninsula, he urged Pyongyang to abide by UN resolutions against its nuclear programme, saying this was "an urgent and honest appeal from the international community, including myself".

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Timeline: Korean tensions

  • 12 Dec: North launches a rocket, claiming to have put a satellite into orbit
  • 12 Feb: North conducts underground nuclear test
  • 11 Mar: US-South Korea annual military drills begin
  • 30 Mar: North says it is entering a "state of war" with South
  • 2 Apr: North says it is restarting Yongbyon reactor
  • 3 Apr: North blocks South workers from Kaesong industrial zone
  • 4 Apr: South deploys warships to attack possible missiles from North
  • 5 Apr: North says it cannot guarantee safety of foreign embassies
  • 8 Apr: South says North could be preparing another nuclear test

Russian President Vladimir Putin said that as a neighbour of North Korea his country was worried by the rising tensions.

But he said all parties should "calm down... and start to resolve the problems that have piled up for many years there at the negotiating table".

'No unusual movement'

On Monday, Mr Ryoo was asked by South Korean MPs about a news report which said North Korea had stepped up activity at the Punggye-ri site it has used in previous tests, with increased movement of personnel and vehicles detected in what was said to be a similar pattern to that which preceded the last test in February.

Mr Ryoo said there were "such signs", but did not elaborate on specific intelligence.

But the defence ministry spokesman Kim Min-seok later denied that a test was thought to be imminent.

He said that while there was activity at the site, Seoul had detected "no unusual movements that indicated [North Korea] wanted to carry out a nuclear test".

It was already known that the North had prepared two tunnels in which to carry out its recent test, and that it could choose at any time to use the second one, he said.

"The situation remains the same. If the North makes a decision, it could always carry out an atomic test," said Mr Kim.

The Associated Press quoted Mr Ryoo as saying he had misspoken. He said he could not remember making the comments, which were caught on camera, and was "startled" to see them reported, AP reports.

The confusion is being seen as an indication of just how tense the situation has become on the Korean peninsula over recent weeks.

Pyongyang's announcement that it is withdrawing its more than 50,000 workers from the joint Korean Kaesong complex came as a senior official Kim Yang-gon visited the site.

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Analysis

This is not the first time North Korea has threatened the future of the Kaesong industrial zone. But it is probably the most disruptive action taken in the factory complex's eight-year long existence.

North Korea now says the survival of the complex depends on the attitudes of the South, but cynics will note that the announcement makes it clear that, for now, the withdrawal of the 53,000 workers is temporary.

In the past - throughout the similar periodic crises - the North has, observers say, often taken actions to deliberately increase tension and then subsequently agreed to reduce it by undoing those actions for a price, economic or diplomatic.

Given that Kaesong brings tens of millions of dollars of hard currency to the cash strapped country, there may well yet be a reprieve somewhere down the line for this rather battered symbol of inter-Korean cooperation.

The complex, just over the border in the North, is staffed by Northerners but funded and managed by South Korean firms, and had been one of the last remaining symbols of inter-Korean co-operation.

Pyongyang has already banned South Koreans from entering, but Kim Yang-Gon, secretary of the party's Central Committee, said Pyongyang would now "temporarily suspend the operations in the zone and examine the issue of whether it will allow its existence or close it".

"How the situation will develop in the days ahead will entirely depend on the attitude of the South Korean authorities," the North's KCNA news agency quoted him as saying, blaming "military warmongers" in the South for the closure.

Warlike media

The United Nations imposed tough sanctions on North Korea last month following its third nuclear test. Pyongyang has responded by issuing almost daily threats to use nuclear weapons and saying it would restart its nuclear reactor.

The North has also shut down an emergency military hotline between Seoul and Pyongyang and last week warned it would not be able to guarantee the safety of foreign embassy staff in the event of a war and that countries should begin evacuating their diplomatic staff.

But some analysts have suggested that the rhetoric is in large part designed to shore up the standing of a young, inexperienced leader, Kim Jong-un.

North Korea's state media have been broadcasting a continuing diet of war and retribution with programmes about biochemical war, nuclear war and military preparations dominating the listing.

Meanwhile, Japan's defence ministry said the country's armed forces have been ordered to shoot down any North Korean missile headed towards its territory.

Over the weekend, the US cancelled a scheduled test of its Minuteman 3 ballistic missile, citing concerns that it could be misinterpreted by Pyongyang.


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